KNOWN UNKNOWNS: WHY THE TREASURY’S CRYSTAL BALL NEEDS A POLISH

By David Price

Unlike so many Conservative MPs, former chancellor Kenneth Clarke’s pronouncements have a habit of cutting through. Thanks to his sardonic humour and slightly dishevelled look, the crumpled-suited Tory grandee somehow seems more authentic than many of his on-message colleagues who are always parroting the official party line.

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TRANSITION WILL ERADICATE BRITISH FISHING INDUSTRY

It is now clear that the “transition” would dig the UK into Brexit in name only. It is now unequivocal fact that the “Transition” means we will be trapped obeying all EU law including the disastrous Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) as some sort of vassal state.

The proposed “transition” is a grave constitutional concern and continuing locked into the CFP is existential threat to what is left of the British fishing industry and coastal communities.

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The Customs Union

By Brendan Chilton

Debate is taking place within the Labour and Trade Union movement on the question of the United Kingdom’s membership of the Customs Union. Some regard ongoing membership as a ‘soft’ Brexit that can be justified owing to the fact the Conservatives lost their majority in the 2017 general election.  

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Labour should Take Back Control

By Brendan Chilton

The slogan of the official ‘Vote Leave’ campaign was ‘take back control.’ It was one of the most effective and simple campaign messages of recent times. It was a phrase that resonated with people and one they could understand. It was also highly subjective and enabled individual voters to construe their own interpretation of the message and what it would mean for them, their family, community and country.  It was such an effective message that Labour should examine it closely and bring its meaning into campaign strategy and practice.

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The Lexit ‘mythbuster’ that never was

This paper performs a significant role in ensuring the everyday lives, hopes, and fears of the millions of Labour supporters who voted Leave, are at the heart of the Brexit debate on the centre-left. One important conclusion to draw from the paper is that, by shaking up the political kaleidoscope, Brexit gives fresh impetus to a radical reform agenda which seeks to improve working-class living standards.’ - Frank Field, MP


 

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The leaked Brexit report - highly dubious!

The leaked government Brexit report has been seized upon by Remainers as another weapon in their arsenal, but a closer look finds it conceals as much as it reveals.

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IMPRESSIONS FROM MEETING MICHEL BARNIER IN BRUSSELS

By John Mills, 

Michel Barnier is an impressive person, tough and charming, who is evidently well on top of his Brexit brief and thus a formidable person to have on the other side of the table as the Brexit negotiations take place. He wants to get a deal completed but not at any cost to the EU27.

 

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BLUE PASSPORTS: THE NEW FRONT IN BRITAIN’S CULTURE WAR

By David Price

Every Christmas, many British sun seekers leave their green and pleasant land (well, grey and dank) for a winter break in the warmer climes of southern Europe and north Africa. This year though, it seems the numbers may be dramatically down – because a Remain-supporting Twitter hate mob has declared that actually, Leave voters rarely travel beyond their hometowns. Indeed, most Brexiteers – if you believe these revelations – apparently live in Bognor Regis and have all the cosmopolitan credentials of Sid James and Bernard Bresslaw in Carry On Camping.

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It now seems that we may be heading for a Soft Brexit

By John Mills

It now seems that we may be heading for a Soft Brexit, with the UK being nominally outside the European Union, the Single Market and the Customs Union but continuing to comply with nearly all EU requirements. Those who voted Remain may be satisfied with this state of affairs. What about the 52% who voted Leave?

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Tony Blair confirms he is working to reverse Brexit

Tony Blair has confirmed that he is trying to reverse Brexit, arguing that voters deserve a second referendum because the “£350 per week for the NHS” promise has now been exposed as untrue.

In an interview with the BBC Radio 4’s The World This Weekend on Sunday, the former prime minister said that what was happening to the “crumbling” NHS was a “national tragedy” and that it was now “very clear” that the Vote Leave promise about Brexit leading to higher NHS spending would not be honoured.

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Brexit is our 'Vietnam', according to LSE academic

Just when you thought the hyperbole and hysteria of Establishment Britain couldn't become any more absurd, they come out with something so silly that it warrants some discussion. The latest of these is the claim that Brexit is our "Vietnam".

A democratic vote to leave a vast imperial bloc is being compared to a bloody, dismal war in which America dropped more bombs than in the whole of WW2, and the death toll topped a million, with millions more wounded. That an academic at one of our most prestigious universities considers this a comparison of merit is quite concerning.

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What can we do about our massive annual financial deficit with the EU27?

By John Mills

In 2016, the UK had a total foreign payments deficit of £115bn. Of this huge sum, which is nearly 6% of our national income, however, £111bn was solely with the EU27 and not with the Rest of the World, where we had a deficit of only £4bn.The Bulletin which is below provides detailed figures.

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If Remain Had Won, Would We Be Witnessing This?

By David Price

It was a dramatic night, alright. At one point, the Vote Leave campaign thought they’d clinched it. Early returns from the North East – and then a surprise upset in Swindon – saw far greater swings than predicted for the anti-EU side. Huddled amidst jubilant supporters, Nigel Farage took to the airwaves. “This is the big one. This looks like an historic victory that will shock the political establishment to its core…”

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Bang for your buck. Or not!

Negotiations on the United Kingdoms withdrawal from the European Union have been hindered and delayed, in part due to the Tory government's terrible handling of the negotiations. The decision not to discuss trade arrangements until after divorce terms was a seismic error. But the primary reason for the slow pace is due to Brussels unwillingness to advance negotiations until the United Kingdom has agreed to a divorce settlement. That’s right; Brussels wants more of our money.

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Where is €40bn for the EU going to come from?

By John Mills

In her Florence speech, the Prime Minister suggested that the UK should pay a divorce settlement in the region of €20bn to the EU27. More recently there has been talk of this payment being doubled to €40bn. These are huge sums of money. Incurring liabilities on this scale is not just a question of the considerable impact it will have on living standards. It also raises the question of how such astronomical sums are going to be raised at all.

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The Spectre of Brexit

By Graham Stringer MP

The spectre of Brexit hung over both the Labour and Conservative conferences this autumn. Unfortunately that was all it did just hang there like a whiff of an irritating bad smell that nobody can be bothered dealing with. But Brexit is more than just an annoying trifle it is, as we are regularly told, the most important political event in all our lifetimes. This being so, the Labour and Conservative front benches should have welcomed advice from open debate at their conferences as neither party has a Brexit policy fit for purpose.

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Cliff Hanger – Britain now stands between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea

By David Price

The United Kingdom is stumbling towards a no deal with the European Union, and its like lemmings falling off a cliff, we are told. Theres now a realistic prospect that Britain is just about to do catastrophic damage to herself, in some tragic act of self-harm. Our beloved country is set to ride its Union Jack-painted scooter off the political equivalent of Beachy Head, crashing down to the rocks below, so they say

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Labour's new Brexit policy is an unsatisfactory half-way house

Labour has now committed itself to supporting essentially the Norwegian model – at least for quite a long temporary basis – for the UK’s relationship for the UK strategy post March 2019. If achievable, there is one tangible advantage to this strategy. It would provide the UK with continuing “free movement” access to the Single Market. Because we are already EEA members in our own right, we would not have to run the risk of not being accepted into the club, thus providing some certainty which might otherwise be lacking. There are also, however, major disadvantages which, in the end, might make Labour rue endorsing this approach as being a smart tactical but poor strategic choice.

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Labour's latest Brexit fudge

As the general public learnt with David Cameron, when politicians go to great lengths to tell you how "clear" and "straight" they are about to be, a mountain of confusion, distraction, waffle and obfuscation inevitably follows. Keir Starmer upholds that unfortunate tradition.

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What did Clement Attlee think of the EU project?

All the points and criticisms he makes apply tenfold to the EU as it now is. At the time he was speaking this was simply the Common Market, before Maastricht, before Lisbon, before Greece, before bailing out French and German banks with EU taxpayers money.

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Labour Leave will campaign to achieve a fair deal from Brexit negotiations. We recognise the will of the UK public and will hold the government and the Labour Party to account.

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